NASCAR at Phoenix betting odds, props, key stats to help bettors win TicketGuardian 500

Posted July 9, 2019

After back-to-back Team Penske wins, NASCAR heads to ISM Raceway’s one-mile horizontal trail in Phoenix for the fourth race of the season.

Brad Keselowski and Joey Logano are riding streaks of eight top-12 endings dating back to last year, but both drivers will take a backseat to the recent dominating performances of Kevin Harvick and Kyle Busch at Phoenix.

Harvick (9/4) and Busch (7/2) have the shortest odds to win Sunday’s TicketGuardian 500 and won at the track last season. This weekend, when Harvick were to triumph, he would join an elite team, becoming just the sixth driver in series history to win 10 or even more Cup Series races in one track; linking Richard Petty, Darrell Waltrip, Jimmie Johnson, David Pearson and Dale Earnhardt.

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In three of those previous four Phoenix races, Busch has headed 359 laps, including 117 in his win during last season’s playoffs — the first under the new arrangement of this track.

Phoenix’s track is similar to Richmond and New Hampshire and it is no surprise both Harvick and Busch have had similar success at these racks. Busch has won the last two races at Richmond and 2017’s fall race at New Hampshire. Harvick won the most-recent race at New Hampshire and has finished in the top five in five of the previous six races at Richmond.

But unlike in those preceding races, all motorists will use a new car setup implemented by NASCAR, another from that which we watched the last two weeks at Atlanta and Las Vegas. Teams will utilize a tapered spacer — without a ducts that are aero — for the first time. They’ll use a 750-horsepower engine at Phoenix rather than their 550-horsepower engine at Vegas. NASCAR hopes to find a well-handling car using a quicker response time around the throttle. The package that is new could close the gap Busch and Harvick have had on the field.

So far in two races with NASCAR’s slightly differing rules bundle, Ford has led 65 percent of their laps and has five stage wins. Harvick’s teammate, ford motorist Aric Almirola, will be a sleeper driver to observe this weekend. He was third in New Hampshire’s similar layout last season, fifth at Richmond and fourth in last year’s fall race in Phoenix. Almirola is 20/1 to win on Sunday and we enjoy him .

MORE: How to Succeed at betting on NASCAR at 2019

Curious to win 2019 TicketGuardian 500 at Phoenix

Odds provided by Westgate LV SuperBook

Kevin HARVICK 9/4
Kyle BUSCH 7/2
Brad KESELOWSKI 7/1
Joey LOGANO 8/1
Martin TRUEX JR 10/1
Chase ELLIOTT 10/1
Denny HAMLIN 15/1
Kyle LARSON 20/1
Aric ALMIROLA 20/1
Clint BOWYER 25/1
Erik JONES 25/1
Kurt BUSCH 30/1
Ryan BLANEY 30/1
Jimmie JOHNSON 50/1
Austin DILLON 50/1
Alex BOWMAN 50/1
Ricky STENHOUSE JR 50/1
Daniel SUAREZ 60/1
Ryan NEWMAN 100/1
William BYRON 100/1
Daniel HEMRIC 100/1
Paul MENARD 100/1
Ryan PREECE 200/1
Chris BUESCHER 200/1
Matt DIBENEDETTO 200/1
Darrell WALLACE JR 500/1
Ty DILLON 1000/1
Michael McDOWELL 2000/1
David RAGAN 2000/1
FIELD (all others) 500/1