Handicapping NASCAR’s Championship Four at Homestead-Miami Speedway

Posted November 1, 2019

Kyle Busch, Kevin Harvick, Martin Truex Jr. and Joey Logano will race for the 2018 Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series championship Sunday in Homestead-Miami Speedway (Green flag: 3:03 p.m. ET, NBC).

According to gambling odds from Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook, Busch and Harvick are the favorites at +200, followed by Truex (+275) and Logano (+450).
Employing benefits and 2018 loop data, we provide pick to a championship and also handicap the race.
After 35 races, Kyle Busch, Kevin Harvick, Martin Truex Jr. and Joey Logano have made the right to fight for the 2018 Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series (MENCS) championship Sunday in Homestead-Miami Speedway.

Busch (2015),” Harvick (2014) and Truex (2017) have notched one championship in their own careers, while Logano is attempting to secure his original.

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It’s not surprise to visit Busch, Harvick and Truex still living, as”The Big Three” combined to win 20 of the 35 regular-season races this season. Logano scored two wins himselfbut rode 25 top-10 finishes to make his shot at Homestead.

Employing historical loop data from FantasyRacingCheatSheet.com, let’s break down the contenders to ascertain the best bet to win the 2018 Dragon Energy NASCAR Cup Series championshipgame.

The Track
Even though Homestead-Miami joins a few additional MENCS monitors at 1.5 mph, there actually are not any other people on the circuit like it.

Homestead delivers progressive banking, which allows drivers to run lines, with the lane the quickest.

The track surface itself is also very abrasive, which makes new rubber a massive advantage and wears out tires quickly.

With tire wear creating automobiles hard to drive and progressive banking allowing drivers to select different lines, passing is easier here than most other 1.5-mile tracks which are too reliant upon aero for speed and therefore create follow-the-leader racing.

For the analysis below, I decided to examine the four races at Hometead-Miami Speedway.

Using four races may seem a little arbitrary, but that amount was picked on by me for two specific reasons. 2014 was the first year which NASCAR went into the playoff format in which drivers progress through the playoff of the sport until four stay .