BIG MARLEY’S UFC FIGHT NIGHT 132 DRAFT KINGS FANTASY BREAKDOWN

This week, we’ve got a Fight Pass card in Singapore. Since it’s in Singapore, we have to wake up at 4:30am ET to watch it live. I have already set the alarm and that I will be up prepared to sweat these early fights. DraftKings doesn’t have many big tournaments this week so I will be playing more money games and less GPPs. I’ll still have 3 GPP lineups but most of my investment that this week will be in cash games. But, there is still money to be won so here are a Couple of plays I like and my fade of the week:
Cash Game play of this week — Stack, Leon Edwards ($8,600) AND Donald Cerrone ($7,600)
Donald”Cowboy” Cerrone is not in a boring fight. Whether he wins or loses, his fights generally score high as a whole along with also the winner nearly always pays off their price tag in DraftKings. I usually look for at least 100 total points should I stack a fight in cash and that I believe with this being a probable 5-rounds, it should score well more than that. If Edwards win this battle, it is likely an early KO, and if that happens he will score quite high. If Cerrone wins, then he can lock up a submission or a knockout which will easily 10x his price tag of $7.6k. But either way, you’ve got the winner in your lineup along with the ensured 30-90 win bonus points if you do stack. I believe this battle will be fun as long as it lasts and there ought to be a fantastic number of points added up until these two get finished. If this does go 5 rounds, then these two should nevertheless get over 100 total points together with the pace Cowboy brings to the table.
GPP drama of the week — Li Jingliang ($9,200)
Li Jingliang constantly puts on a series when he measures in the Octagon. He is a fast pace fighter who scores well on DraftKings if he wins. I think he should be the fighter wherever this struggle ends up against Abe. In addition, I think he could complete this battle on the feet or the floor and if that happens he’d very likely pay off his high price tag of $9.2k. He is the 3rd most expensive fighter on the card and I believe he’s the maximum ceiling. That’s what we want in GPPs is a ceiling, so that’s why Jingliang is my GPP play of the week.
Underdog drama of this week — Song Yadong ($7,900)
Song Yadong is my favourite DraftKings”underdog” this week. His gambling line has shifted to him being a slight favorite at -120 but he is $400 cheaper than his opponent. I believe saving that $400 is a good transfer in money or GPP games therefore I enjoy Yadong in most formats. I think Yadong will look to maintain this battle on the feet and hunt for that KO win. If he can get the win, then I believe he should readily pay off that price tag and receive at least 10x.
Fade of this week — Viviane Pereira ($8,800)
My primary issue with Pereira is that she’s too expensive. At $8.8k, I need at least 88 points from her and I think she needs get an end to do that. I really don’t see that happening and does Vegas with a +617 ITD line. She doesn’t strike at a high enough pace or land enough takedowns to evaluate 88 points in my opinion. In her two UFC wins she held her opponent against the fence to get a fantastic portion of the struggle and no issues are being scored when that happens. If she does this again , there is no way she even comes close to 88 points in spite of a win. I have a complete fade on Pereira this week and that I will compensate for other favorites instead.
If you would like my own full-card DraftKings breakdown with analysis on each fight, my personal strategies & suggestions, and my pick prediction for every single fight then it is possible to find that under the Premium Picks tab on MMAoddsbreaker if you click on Upcoming Picks. Or you can just go to this link below:
https://mmaoddsbreaker.com/mmaob-premium/upcoming-picks

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