BIG MARLEY’S UFC FIGHT NIGHT 132 DRAFT KINGS FANTASY BREAKDOWN

This week, we have a Fight Pass card in Singapore. Since it is in Singapore, we have to wake up at 4:30am ET to watch it live. I have set the alarm and that I will be up prepared to sweat these early struggles. DraftKings doesn’t have many large tournaments this week so that I will personally be playing more money games and less GPPs. I’ll still have 3 GPP lineups but most of my investment this week will be in money games. But, there is still money to be won so here are a Couple of plays I enjoy and my fade of the week:
Cash Game play of this week — Stack, Leon Edwards ($8,600) AND Donald Cerrone ($7,600)
Donald”Cowboy” Cerrone is never in a dull fight. Whether he wins or loses, his fights usually score as a whole along with the winner almost always pays off their cost in DraftKings. I typically look for at least 100 total points should I pile up a fight in cash and I think for this being a probable 5-rounds, it must score well more than that. Should Edwards win this fight, it is probably an early KO, and if this happens he will score very high. If Cerrone wins, then he could lock up a submission or a knockout which will readily 10x his price tag of $7.6k. But in any event, you have the winner at your lineup along with the ensured 30-90 win bonus points if you do stack. I believe this battle is going to be fun so long as it lasts and there ought to be a good amount of points added up until one of these two get finished. If this does go 5 rounds, these two should still get over 100 total points together with the pace Cowboy brings to the table.
GPP play of the week — Li Jingliang ($9,200)
Li Jingliang constantly puts on a show when he steps in the Octagon. He’s a quick pace fighter that scores well on DraftKings when he wins. I think he must be the fighter wherever this struggle ends up against Abe. I also think he could finish this battle on the feet or the floor and if that happens he would very likely pay off his high cost of $9.2k. He is the 3rd most expensive fighter on the card and that I think he’s the highest ceiling. That is what we want in GPPs is a ceiling, so that’s the reason why Jingliang is my GPP drama of the week.
Underdog play of this week — Song Yadong ($7,900)
Song Yadong is my favorite DraftKings”underdog” this week. His betting line has changed to him being a slight favorite at -120 but he’s $400 cheaper than his competitor. I believe saving that $400 is a good transfer in cash or GPP games so that I enjoy Yadong in most formats. I believe Yadong will seem to maintain this battle on the feet and hunt for this KO win. If he can get the win, ” I believe he must easily pay off that cost and get at least 10x.
Fade of this week — Viviane Pereira ($8,800)
My primary issue with Pereira is that she is too pricey. At $8.8k, I need at least 88 points out of her and I believe she desires get an end to perform that. I really don’t see that happening and neither does Vegas using a +617 ITD line. She doesn’t strike at a high enough speed or territory enough takedowns to evaluate 88 points in my personal opinion. In her 2 UFC wins she held her opponent against the fence for a good portion of the struggle and no points are being scored when that occurs. If she does that again here, there is no way she comes near 88 points in spite of a win. I have a complete fade on Pereira this week and that I will pay up for different favorites instead.
If you’d like my own full-card DraftKings breakdown with analysis on every struggle, my personal approaches & suggestions, and also my selection prediction for every fight then you can discover that under the Premium Picks tab on MMAoddsbreaker if you click on Upcoming Picks. Or you can just go to this link below:
https://mmaoddsbreaker.com/mmaob-premium/upcoming-picks

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